Almost every owner we talk to asks some version of the same thing: how will I know it’s time?
There is rarely a single right moment. What we look for is whether three things are close enough to act on: you are personally ready, the business is performing and can show it, and buyers in your industry are active and able to finance a deal. When one of those is badly out of line, owners usually either accept less or wait longer than they planned.
Your personal readiness
Owners tend to lose energy for the business before the business shows it. When that happens, reinvestment slows, hiring falls behind demand, and the owner stops chasing new customers. A year or two later, the numbers reflect it, and a buyer prices the business on those numbers.
Signs you may be further along than you think:
- You are putting off equipment, vehicle, or facility spending you would have approved a few years ago
- You are managing for this year instead of building for the next five
- You have stopped pursuing new customers or service lines
- Problems you used to enjoy solving now feel like chores
Questions worth answering in writing:
- How much do you need from a sale after taxes and debt to fund the life you want? A wealth advisor can help you work out a real figure.
- What will you do the week after closing?
- Are you willing to work for a new owner for one to three years, if that is what the best buyer requires?
- If you expect a family member or a key employee to take over, have you asked them directly, and do they have the ability to buy you out or finance it?
The business’s readiness
Buyers value a business largely on its recent results, usually the trailing twelve months, and on how believable the next year looks. Timing relative to your own numbers matters:
- Selling right after a down year means being valued on that year, even if you have a good explanation
- A one-time spike, such as a single large project or an unusual season, won’t be valued as if it will repeat
- A steady multi-year trend in revenue and margin, with a pipeline to support the next year, is what buyers pay the most for
Keep in mind that a sale process typically takes many months from preparation to closing, and buyers watch your monthly results the whole time. If results slip partway through, expect the buyer to revisit the price. Plan to start when you expect results to hold up for the full length of the process.
Other items that affect timing:
- Large capital needs coming due, such as a fleet replacement, a major machine, or a building repair. A buyer will account for them either way.
- Customer concentration or a key contract up for renewal
- Whether a second-in-command is in place and has been running things long enough to be credible
- Whether your financial statements are ready for a buyer’s review (our article on preparing a business for sale covers this in detail)
The market
Conditions outside your company move prices even when nothing inside it has changed:
- Interest rates and lender appetite affect how much financial buyers can borrow, and therefore what they can pay
- When private equity groups or larger competitors are actively buying in your industry, there are more bidders and more competition for good businesses
- Regulatory changes, such as reimbursement changes in healthcare or licensing changes in the trades, can make buyers more or less interested in a sector
- Tax law changes can affect what you keep from a sale closed in one year versus the next
You can’t control any of this. What you can control is being ready, so you can act when conditions are favorable and wait when they aren’t.
Common reasons owners wait too long
- Waiting for one more good year. If it comes, it becomes the new baseline and the case for another year starts over. If it doesn’t, you sell from a weaker position.
- Waiting for a specific number. A figure from an unsolicited call or a friend’s sale is rarely a reliable guide to what your business will bring.
- Assuming a successor without asking. Family members and managers sometimes don’t want the business, or can’t finance it.
- Avoiding a hard conversation with a partner. Disagreements between owners about timing or price tend to get worse under the pressure of a deal.
- Waiting until a key employee gives notice. Losing a top manager just before a sale weakens the business and the story you can tell about it.
What to do with an unsolicited offer
Calls from buyers, private equity groups, and intermediaries are common, and they are a useful signal that there is interest in your industry. Before you respond in detail:
- Don’t give a price or agree to one in conversation
- Don’t share financial statements before a non-disclosure agreement is signed, and be careful what you share even after
- Find out who the buyer is, whether they have closed similar deals, and how they would finance this one
- Get an independent view of value before you react to their number
- Consider whether a single buyer is the right approach. With only one party at the table, that buyer largely sets the terms. A competitive process usually improves both price and terms.
Treat an unsolicited offer as a reason to start planning. Whether you sell to that buyer, and when, is a separate decision.
You may not need to sell everything at once
Timing is easier when you know the full range of options:
- Full sale to a strategic buyer or a financial buyer
- Majority recapitalization with private equity, where you sell a controlling stake, keep some equity, and may get a second payout when the business is sold again
- Minority growth equity, where a partner such as Bellarmine Growth Partners invests to grow the business and you keep control and most of the upside, with a full sale later
- ESOP or management buyout, which keeps the company with the people running it and usually pays the owner over time
- Family transition, often combined with gifting and a seller note, which requires the most lead time
Each path has a different timeline and different preparation. If you are unsure which fits, that is a good reason to start the conversation early.
Signals the window may be open
Take it seriously when several of these show up together:
- You think more about life after the business than about next quarter
- The last two or three years show steady results, and next year looks solid
- Buyers or intermediaries are calling without being invited
- Key people, contracts, and customers would stay through your exit
- Your financials are ready for a buyer’s review, or close to it
- A sale at a realistic price would fund your personal goals
A working timeline
These ranges vary by business, but they are a reasonable guide:
- Two to three years out: get an independent view of value, upgrade the financials, start tax and estate planning, and decide which kind of transaction you want
- One to two years out: put a second-in-command in place, move key relationships off your desk, put contracts in writing, and address capital needs
- Six to twelve months out: select advisors, consider a sell-side quality of earnings report, and prepare marketing materials and a data room
- The process itself: often six to nine months from going to market to closing, sometimes longer
Starting early carries no obligation to sell. It gives you time to fix the things a buyer would discount, and it lets you choose when to go to market.
Get a straight answer on your timing
We will tell you whether your window looks open, including if it doesn’t yet, and what would change that. The first conversation costs nothing and stays between us.
Start a Confidential ConversationThis article is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, tax, financial, or investment advice. Every business and situation is different; please consult qualified advisors before making decisions.
